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Predictors of respiratory failure in patients with Guillain–Barré syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Cameron Green, Tess Baker and Ashwin Subramaniam
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (4): . || doi: 10.5694/mja17.00552
Published online: 5 March 2018

Abstract

Objective: To systematically review the literature regarding the ability of clinical features to predict respiratory failure in patients with Guillain–Barré syndrome (GBS).

Data sources: We searched the PubMed and Ovid MEDLINE databases with the search terms “guillain barre syndrome” OR “acute inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy” OR “acute motor axonal neuropathy” OR “acute motor sensory axonal neuropathy” AND “respiratory failure” OR “mechanical ventilation”. We excluded articles that did not report the results of original research (eg, review articles, letters), were case reports or series (ten or fewer patients), were not available in English, reported research in paediatric populations (16 years of age or younger), or were interventional studies. Article quality was assessed with the Newcastle–Ottawa quality assessment scale.

Data synthesis: Thirty-four relevant studies were identified. Short time from symptom onset to hospital admission (less than 7 days), bulbar (odds ratio [OR], 9.0; 95% CI, 3.94–20.6; P < 0.001) or neck weakness (OR, 6.36; 95% CI, 2.32–17.5; P < 0.001), and severe muscle weakness at hospital admission were associated with increased risk of intubation. Facial weakness (OR, 3.74; 95% CI, 2.05–6.81; P < 0.001) and autonomic instability (OR, 6.40; 95% CI, 2.83–14.5; P < 0.001) were significantly more frequent in patients requiring intubation in our meta-analyses; however, the differences were not statistically significant in individual multivariable analysis studies. Four predictive models have been developed to assess the risk of respiratory failure for patients with GBS, each with good to excellent discriminative power (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.79–0.96).

Conclusions and relevance: Early identification of GBS patients at risk of respiratory failure could reduce the rates of adverse outcomes associated with delayed intubation. Algorithms that predict a patient’s risk of subsequent respiratory failure at hospital admission appear more reliable than individual clinical variables.


  • 1 Peninsula Health, Melbourne, VIC
  • 2 Monash University, Melbourne, VIC


Correspondence: cgreen@phcn.vic.gov.au

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

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The many costs of homelessness

Adam Steen
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (4): . || doi: 10.5694/mja17.01197
Published online: 5 March 2018

Helping the homeless is a social imperative that benefits the homeless — and the community as a whole

The last few years have seen an upsurge in street homelessness or “rough sleeping” in Australia’s major cities. The homeless population includes more than just “rough sleepers”, however. It is generally accepted that homelessness exists when a person is experiencing insecure or unsafe accommodation, and ranges from situations of sleeping rough, to staying in guest or boarding houses or “couch surfing” with family or friends. Accordingly, homelessness encompasses a spectrum of severity that may last only a short time for most individuals, while others may experience many years of deprivation. While calculating the precise number of homeless people is problematic, we know that 255 657 Australians received support from specialist homelessness services during 2014–15, and almost 7 million nights of accommodation were provided.1

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  • Institute for Land, Water and Society, Charles Sturt University, Bathurst, NSW


Correspondence: adamsteen@hotmail.com

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

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Guided by the research design: choosing the right statistical test

Alissa Beath and Michael P Jones
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (4): . || doi: 10.5694/mja17.00422
Published online: 5 March 2018

Choosing the right statistical test or model can be baffling for researchers, and if it is not conducted correctly, the results from statistical analyses can be misleading. This article covers some common medical research designs, ranging from simple to more complicated, and provides an outline of which statistical test to apply in each instance. In these contexts, data are collected from a sample that is assumed to be representative of a wider population, and the conclusions drawn from the analyses apply to the wider population.1


  • Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW


Correspondence: alissa.beath@mq.edu.au

Series Editors

John R Attia

Michael P Jones


Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

  • 1. Jones MP, Attia JR. Sampling: how you choose people is as important as how you analyse their data. Med J Aust 2017; 206: 67-68. <MJA full text>
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Oral disease contributes to illness burden and disparities

Steve Kisely, Ratilal Lalloo and Pauline Ford
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (4): . || doi: 10.5694/mja17.00777
Published online: 5 March 2018

Oral health cannot be isolated from physical or mental health and should form part of comprehensive care

Dental disease affects 3.9 billion people worldwide, with untreated caries being the most prevalent condition in the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010.1 In spite of this, disparities in oral ill health receive less attention than those in other chronic illnesses, even though dental disease is significantly more prevalent and severe in socially disadvantaged and marginalised groups. These include people on lower incomes, those born outside Australia, Indigenous Australians and people with severe mental illness.2-4 For instance, in comparison with the overall Australian population, Indigenous Australians have 2.77 times the prevalence of untreated dental caries,3 while people with severe mental illness have nearly three times the odds of total tooth loss, the end result of untreated caries and gum disease.4


  • University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD


Correspondence: s.kisely@uq.edu.au

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

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Potential solutions to improve the governance of multicentre health services research

Robyn Clay-Williams, Natalie Taylor and Jeffrey Braithwaite
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (4): . || doi: 10.5694/mja16.01268
Published online: 5 March 2018

Building bridges between research groups and the health system will facilitate the production of non-clinical studies

Obtaining institutional consent to conduct health services research in Australia has become onerous and time-consuming,1-8 and thus we present potential solutions to the challenges encountered when seeking approval for large multicentre non-clinical studies. These ideas have been synthesised from what is already known and from our experience obtaining ethics and governance approvals for 60 large public hospitals participating in the Deepening our Understanding of Quality in Australia (DUQuA) study. DUQuA9 is a 3-year Australia-wide, cross-sectional study funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC). This study aims to assess how hospital quality management systems, leadership and culture are related to care delivery and patient outcomes for acute myocardial infarction, stroke and hip fracture.


  • Australian Institute of Health Innovation, Macquarie University, NSW



Acknowledgements: 

DUQuA was funded by the NHMRC Program Grant APP1054146 (CI Braithwaite).

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

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Don’t lose sight: last drinks laws reduce violent assaults

Diana Egerton-Warburton
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (4): . || doi: 10.5694/mja17.01111
Published online: 26 February 2018

The evidence that reducing trading hours reduces alcohol-related violence is compelling

Alcohol-related violence has a large impact on the Australian health care system and on society. Emergency departments (EDs) and acute surgical services are the frontline in dealing with these presentations. A prospective study of eight EDs in Australia and New Zealand found that almost one in ten presentations are alcohol-related throughout the week.1 Further, ED clinicians frequently experience violence and aggression inflicted by patients affected by alcohol.2


  • 1 Monash University, Melbourne, VIC
  • 2 Monash Health, Melbourne, VIC



Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

  • 1. Egerton-Warburton D, Gosbell A, Moore K, et al. Alcohol-related harm in emergency departments: a prospective, multicenter study. Addiction 2018; https://doi.org/10.1111/add.14109 [Epub ahead of print].
  • 2. Egerton-Warburton D, Gosbell A, Wadsworth A, et al. Perceptions of Australasian emergency department staff of the impact of alcohol-related presentations. Med J Aust 2016; 204: 155. <MJA full text>
  • 3. Holmes RF, Lung T, Fulde GWO, Fraser CL. Fewer orbital fractures treated at St Vincent’s Hospital after lock-out laws introduced in Sydney. Med J Aust 2018; 208: 174.
  • 4. Egerton-Warburton D, Gosbell A, Wadsworth A, et al. Survey of alcohol-related presentations to Australasian emergency departments. Med J Aust 2014; 201: 584-587. <MJA full text>
  • 5. Fulde GW, Smith M, Forster LS. Presentations with alcohol-related serious injury to a major Sydney trauma hospital after 2014 changes to liquor laws. Med J Aust 2015; 203: 366. <MJA full text>
  • 6. Menéndez P, Kypri K, Weatherburn D. The effect of liquor licensing restrictions on assault: a quasi-experimental study in Sydney, Australia. Addiction 2017; 112: 261-268.
  • 7. Kypri K, McElduff P, Miller P. Restrictions in pub closing times and lockouts in Newcastle, Australia five years on. Drug Alcohol Rev 2014; 33: 323-326.
  • 8. Rossow I, Norstrom T. The impact of small changes in bar closing hours on violence. The Norwegian experience from 18 cities. Addiction 2012; 107: 530-537.
  • 9. Chikritzhs T, Stockwell T. The impact of later trading hours for hotels on levels of impaired driver road crashes and driver breath alcohol levels. Addiction 2006; 101: 1254-1264.
  • 10. Callinan, IDF. Review of amendments to the liquor act 2007 (NSW). Reviews under clause 47 to Schedule 1 of the Liquor Act, clause 5O of the Liquor Regulation 2008, and at the request of the Executive Government. 13 Sept 2016. http://www.liquorandgaming.nsw.gov.au/Documents/public-consultation/independent%20liquor%20law%20review/Liquor-Law-Review-Report.pdf (viewed Nov 2017).
  • 11. Sivarajasingam V, Shepherd JP, Newcombe RG. Why public health must contribute to reduce violence. BMJ 2011; 343: d4453.
  • 12. Droste N, Miller P, Baker M. Emergency department data sharing to reduce alcohol-related violence: a systematic review of the feasibility and effectiveness of community-level interventions. Emerg Med Australas 2014; 26: 326-335.
  • 13. Florence C, Shepherd J, Brennan I, Simon R. An economic evaluation of anonymised information sharing in a partnership between health services, police and local government for preventing violence-related injury. Inj Prev 2014; 20: 108-114.
  • 14. Parliament of Queensland. Tackling Alcohol-Fuelled Violence Legislation Amendment Act 2016 (Act No. 4 of 2016). https://www.legislation.qld.gov.au/view/pdf/asmade/act-2016-004 (viewed Nov 2017).

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Updated evidence-based clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and management of melanoma: definitive excision margins for primary cutaneous melanoma

Michael J Sladden, Omgo E Nieweg, Julie Howle, Brendon J Coventry and John F Thompson
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (3): . || doi: 10.5694/mja17.00278
Published online: 19 February 2018

Abstract

Introduction: Definitive management of primary cutaneous melanoma consists of surgical excision of the melanoma with the aim of curing the patient. The melanoma is widely excised together with a safety margin of surrounding skin and subcutaneous tissue, after the diagnosis and Breslow thickness have been established by histological assessment of the initial excision biopsy specimen. Sentinel lymph node biopsy should be discussed for melanomas ≥ 1 mm thickness (≥ 0.8 mm if other high risk features) in which case lymphoscintigraphy must be performed before wider excision of the primary melanoma site. The 2008 evidence-based clinical practice guidelines for the management of melanoma (http://www.cancer.org.au/content/pdf/HealthProfessionals/ClinicalGuidelines/ClinicalPracticeGuidelines-ManagementofMelanoma.pdf) are currently being revised and updated in a staged process by a multidisciplinary working party established by Cancer Council Australia. The guidelines for definitive excision margins for primary melanomas have been revised as part of this process.

Main recommendations: The recommendations for definitive wide local excision of primary cutaneous melanoma are:

  • melanoma in situ: 5–10 mm margins
  • invasive melanoma (pT1) ≤ 1.0 mm thick: 1 cm margins
  • invasive melanoma (pT2) 1.01–2.00 mm thick: 1–2 cm margins
  • invasive melanoma (pT3) 2.01–4.00 mm thick: 1–2 cm margins
  • invasive melanoma (pT4) > 4.0 mm thick: 2 cm margins

 

Changes in management as a result of the guideline: Based on currently available evidence, excision margins for invasive melanoma have been left unchanged compared with the 2008 guidelines. However, melanoma in situ should be excised with 5–10 mm margins, with the aim of achieving complete histological clearance. Minimum clearances from all margins should be assessed and stated. Consideration should be given to further excision if necessary; positive or close histological margins are unacceptable.


  • 1 University of Tasmania, Launceston, TAS
  • 2 Melanoma Institute Australia, Sydney, NSW
  • 3 University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW
  • 4 Westmead Hospital, Sydney, NSW
  • 5 Royal Adelaide Hospital, Adelaide, SA


Correspondence: m.sladden@doctors.org.uk

Acknowledgements: 

The guidelines were developed by Cancer Council Australia and Melanoma Institute Australia with financial support from Skin Cancer College Australasia. We acknowledge the Cancer Council Australia and Melanoma Institute Australia project staff, in particular Lani Teddy and Jackie Buck, who were involved in the systematic review.

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

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Cannabis for paediatric epilepsy: challenges and conundrums

Kerrie-Anne Chen, Michelle A Farrar, Michael Cardamone and John A Lawson
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (3): . || doi: 10.5694/mja17.00699
Published online: 19 February 2018

Summary

 

  • Research is expanding for the use of cannabidiol as an anticonvulsant drug. The mechanism of cannabidiol in paediatric epilepsy is unclear but is thought to play a role in modulation of synaptic transmission.
  • Evidence for its efficacy in treating epilepsy is limited but growing, with a single pharmaceutical company-funded randomised double-blind controlled trial in children with Dravet syndrome.
  • Progress towards the use of medicinal cannabinoids incorporates a complex interplay of social influences and political and legal reform.
  • Access to unregistered but available cannabidiol in Australia outside of clinical trials and compassionate access schemes is state dependent and will require Therapeutic Goods Administration approval, although the cost may be prohibitive.
  • Further clinical trials are needed to clearly define efficacy and safety, particularly long term.

 


  • 1 Sydney Children's Hospital, Randwick, Sydney, NSW
  • 2 UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW



Competing interests:

John Lawson is the lead investigator in the NSW Ministry of Health-funded medical cannabis trials.

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Administrative encounters in general practice: low value or hidden value care?

Lyndal J Trevena, Christopher Harrison and Helena C Britt
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (3): . || doi: 10.5694/mja17.00225
Published online: 19 February 2018

Abstract

Objective: To determine the frequency of general practice administrative encounters, and to determine whether they represent low value care.

Design: Secondary analysis of data from the Bettering Evaluation and Care of Health (BEACH) dataset.

Setting: 1 568 100 GP–patient encounters in Australia, 2000–01 to 2015–16.

Participants: An annual nationally representative random sample of about 1000 GPs, who each recorded the details of 100 consecutive encounters with patients.

Main outcome measures: Proportions of general practice encounters that were potentially low value care encounters (among the patient’s reasons for the encounter was at least one administrative, medication, or referral request) and potentially low value care only encounters (such reasons were the sole reason for the encounter). For 2015–16, we also examined other health care provided by GPs at these encounters.

Results: During 2015–16, 18.5% (95% CI, 17.7–19.3%) of 97 398 GP–patient encounters were potentially low value care request encounters; 7.4% (95% CI, 7.0–7.9%) were potentially low value care only encounters. Administrative work was requested at 3.8% (95% CI, 3.5–4.0%) of GP visits, 35.4% of which were for care planning and coordination, 33.5% for certification, and 31.2% for other reasons. Medication requests were made at 13.1% (95% CI, 12.4–13.7%) of encounters; other health care was provided at 57.9% of medication request encounters, counselling, advice or education at 23.4%, and pathology testing was ordered at 16.7%. Referrals were requested at 2.8% (95% CI, 1.7–3.0%) of visits, at 69.4% of which additional health care was provided. The problems managed most frequently at potentially low value care only encounters were chronic diseases.

Conclusion: Most patients requested certificates, medications and referrals in the context of seeking help for other health needs. Additional health care, particularly for chronic diseases, was provided at most GP administrative encounters. The MBS Review should consider the hidden value of these encounters.

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  • Sydney School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW



Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

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Maternal overweight and obesity: where to from here?

David A Ellwood and Leonie K Callaway
Med J Aust 2018; 208 (3): . || doi: 10.5694/mja17.01128
Published online: 19 February 2018

It is time to examine how the health of young women can be improved prior to pregnancy

The report by Cheney and colleagues in this issue of the MJA clearly shows the increasing contribution by the effects of overweight and obesity during pregnancy to adverse perinatal outcomes.1 The authors analysed pregnancy outcomes at a large teaching hospital in central Sydney, and found that the population attributable fractions (PAFs) of pre-eclampsia, gestational diabetes, and fetal macrosomia associated with overweight and obesity (defined by maternal body mass index [BMI] categories) have risen significantly during the past 25 years. As troubling as these findings are, it is worth noting that nearly 80% of the study population had BMIs in the low or normal ranges. However, in the parts of Australia where overweight and obesity are more prevalent, intertwined with socio-economic disadvantage, the PAF associated with overweight and obesity will be higher. Cheney and her co-authors also report interesting trends in their nulliparous population with respect to other risk factors for adverse pregnancy outcomes, such as increasing age and falling smoking rates, and changes in the ethnic profile and dramatic improvements in socio-economic status of the hospital catchment area. The authors modelled the impact of reducing the overall BMI category distribution of first-time mothers, and the prospective improvements in outcomes are remarkable, suggesting that pre-pregnancy weight loss interventions need to be a priority for improving perinatal health.


  • 1 Griffith University, Gold Coast, QLD
  • 2 Gold Coast University Hospital, Gold Coast, QLD
  • 3 Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, QLD
  • 4 University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD


Correspondence: d.ellwood@griffith.edu.au

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

  • 1. Cheney K, Farber R, Barratt AL, et al. Population attributable fractions of perinatal outcomes for nulliparous women associated with overweight and obesity, 1990–2014. Med J Aust 2018; 208: 119-125.
  • 2. Watson M, Howell S, Johnston T, et al. Pre-pregnancy BMI: costs associated with maternal underweight and obesity in Queensland. Aust N Z J Obstet Gynaecol 2013; 53: 243-249.
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  • 5. Darmasseelane K, Hyde MJ, Santhakumaran S, et al. Mode of delivery and offspring body mass index, overweight and obesity in adult life: a systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS One 2014; 9: e87896.
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