MJA
MJA

Modelling the impact of relaxing COVID‐19 control measures during a period of low viral transmission

Nick Scott, Anna Palmer, Dominic Delport, Romesh Abeysuriya, Robyn M Stuart, Cliff C Kerr, Dina Mistry, Daniel J Klein, Rachel Sacks‐Davis, Katie Heath, Samuel W Hainsworth, Alisa Pedrana, Mark Stoove, David Wilson and Margaret E Hellard
Med J Aust 2021; 214 (2): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50845
Published online: 1 February 2021

Abstract

Objectives: To assess the risks associated with relaxing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19)‐related physical distancing restrictions and lockdown policies during a period of low viral transmission.

Design: Network‐based viral transmission risks in households, schools, workplaces, and a variety of community spaces and activities were simulated in an agent‐based model, Covasim.

Setting: The model was calibrated for a baseline scenario reflecting the epidemiological and policy environment in Victoria during March–May 2020, a period of low community viral transmission.

Intervention: Policy changes for easing COVID‐19‐related restrictions from May 2020 were simulated in the context of interventions that included testing, contact tracing (including with a smartphone app), and quarantine.

Main outcome measure: Increase in detected COVID‐19 cases following relaxation of restrictions.

Results: Policy changes that facilitate contact of individuals with large numbers of unknown people (eg, opening bars, increased public transport use) were associated with the greatest risk of COVID‐19 case numbers increasing; changes leading to smaller, structured gatherings with known contacts (eg, small social gatherings, opening schools) were associated with lower risks. In our model, the rise in case numbers following some policy changes was notable only two months after their implementation.

Conclusions: Removing several COVID‐19‐related restrictions within a short period of time should be undertaken with care, as the consequences may not be apparent for more than two months. Our findings support continuation of work from home policies (to reduce public transport use) and strategies that mitigate the risk associated with re‐opening of social venues.

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Putting the “good” into Good Clinical Practice

Tanya Symons, Steve Webb and John R Zalcberg
Med J Aust 2021; 214 (2): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50908
Published online: 1 February 2021

Current Good Clinical Practice guidelines are bureaucratic and should align with less burdensome examples of international trial policy

Clinical trials must be conducted in ways that protect participants and produce reliable results. Both are central tenets of the International Council for Harmonisation of Technical Requirements for Pharmaceuticals for Human Use (ICH) Good Clinical Practice (GCP) guideline.1 The ICH GCP guideline was developed to harmonise the conduct of trials across world regions and, since the mid‐1990s, its core principles have provided the bedrock for trial conduct. However, the devil is in the detail and, in the case of the ICH GCP guideline, that detail (and the interpretation of each word) has far‐reaching consequences.


  • 1 University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW
  • 2 Royal Perth Hospital, Perth, WA
  • 3 Monash University, Melbourne, VIC


Correspondence: tanya.symons@sydney.edu.au

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

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Unprofessional behaviour in Australian hospitals

Anthony Scott and Danny Hills
Med J Aust 2021; 214 (1): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50891
Published online: 18 January 2021

Inappropriate behaviour harms health workers and patients, and evidence‐based solutions are needed

Health care is the largest employment sector in Australia, more than 1.7 million workers (14% of all employees).1 Incivility, bullying, aggression, and negative workplace cultures seem endemic and have repeatedly been associated with poor workforce and clinical outcomes, but high quality evaluation of interventions for eliminating these behaviours are rare.2,3,4


  • 1 Melbourne Institute: Applied Economic and Social Research, Melbourne, VIC
  • 2 Federation University Australia, Ballarat, VIC


Correspondence: a.scott@unimelb.edu.au

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

  • 1. Australian Bureau of Statistics. 6291.0.55.003. Labour force, Australia, detailed (May 2020). June 2020. https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/labour/employment-and-unemployment/labour-force-australia-detailed/may-2020 (viewed Sept 2020).
  • 2. Westbrook J, Sunderland N, Atkinson V, et al. Endemic unprofessional behaviour in health care: the mandate for a change in approach. Med J Aust 2018; 209: 380–381. https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2018/209/9/endemic-unprofessional-behaviour-health-care-mandate-change-approach
  • 3. Mannion R, Davies H. Understanding organisational culture for healthcare quality improvement. BMJ 2018; 363: k4907.
  • 4. Choo EK, Byington CL, Johnson NL, et al. From #MeToo to #TimesUp in health care: can a culture of accountability end inequity and harassment? Lancet 2019; 393: 499–502.
  • 5. Westbrook J, Sunderland N, Li L, et al. The prevalence and impact of unprofessional behaviour among hospital workers: a survey in seven Australian hospitals. Med J Aust 2021; 214: 31–37.
  • 6. Hills DJ, Joyce CM, Humphreys JS. A national study of workplace aggression in Australian clinical medical practice. Med J Aust 2012; 197: 336–340. https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2012/197/6/national-study-workplace-aggression-australian-clinical-medical-practice
  • 7. Hills D, Lam L, Hills S. Workplace aggression experiences and responses of Victorian nurses, midwives and care personnel. Collegian 2018; 25: 575–582.
  • 8. Fear NT, Seddon R, Jones N, et al. Does anonymity increase the reporting of mental health symptoms? BMC Public Health 2012; 12: 797.
  • 9. Edwards P, Roberts I, Clarke M, et al. Methods to increase response to postal and electronic questionnaires. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2009; MR000008.
  • 10. Joyce CM, Scott A, Jeon SH, et al. The “Medicine in Australia: Balancing Employment and Life (MABEL)” longitudinal survey: protocol and baseline data for a prospective cohort study of Australian doctors’ workforce participation. BMC Health Serv Res 2010; 10: 50.
  • 11. Saini V, Garcia‐Armesto S, Klemperer D, et al. Drivers of poor medical care. Lancet 2017; 390: 178–190.
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Outcomes for patients with COVID‐19: known knowns, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns

Mervyn Singer
Med J Aust 2021; 214 (1): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50890
Published online: 18 January 2021

Adequate capacity — beds, equipment, consumables, and, crucially, trained personnel — is needed to cope with a surge of critically ill patients

In this issue of the MJA, Burrell and his co‐authors report on the management and outcomes of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) admitted to Australian intensive care units (ICUs) during February–June 2020.1 The ICU mortality rate was impressively low (22% for patients requiring mechanical ventilation, 5% for those who did not). Given the excellent quality of care, it is worth exploring other reasons for this low mortality.

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  • Bloomsbury Institute of Intensive Care Medicine, London, The United Kingdom


Correspondence: m.singer@ucl.ac.uk

Competing interests:

I was involved with UCL, the UCL Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, and Mercedes F1 in the development of a CPAP device (UCL Ventura) for use in patients with COVID‐19 on a not‐for profit, humanitarian basis.

  • 1. Burrell AJC, Pellegrini B, Salimi F, et al. Outcomes for patients with COVID‐19 admitted to Australian intensive care units during the first four months of the pandemic. Med J Aust 2021; 214: 23–30.
  • 2. Singer M, Shipley R, Baker T, et al. The UCL Ventura CPAP device for COVID‐19. Lancet Respir Med 2020; 8: 1076–1078.
  • 3. Richards‐Belle A, Orzechowska I, Gould DW, et al. ICNARC COVID‐19 Team. COVID‐19 in critical care: epidemiology of the first epidemic wave across England, Wales and Northern Ireland. Intensive Care Med 2020; 46: 2035–2047.
  • 4. Doidge JC, Mouncey PR, Thomas K, et al. Trends in intensive care for patients with COVID‐19 in England, Wales and Northern Ireland [preprint]; version 1, 10 Aug 2020. Preprints 2020; https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202008.0267.v1.
  • 5. Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre. ICNARC report on COVID‐19 in critical care: England, Wales and Northern Ireland, 13 November 2020. https://www.icnarc.org/DataServices/Attachments/Download/6167f9f7-ea25-eb11-912b-00505601089b (viewed Nov 2020).
  • 6. Helms J, Tacquard C, Severac F, et al. CRICS TRIGGERSEP Group (Clinical Research in Intensive Care and Sepsis Trial Group for Global Evaluation and Research in Sepsis). High risk of thrombosis in patients with severe SARS‐CoV-2 infection: a multicenter prospective cohort study. Intensive Care Med 2020; 173: 4030–4010.
  • 7. Ackermann M, Verleden SE, Kuehnel M, et al. Pulmonary vascular endothelialitis, thrombosis, and angiogenesis in Covid‐19. N Engl J Med 2020; 383: 120–128.
  • 8. Horby P, Lim WS, Emberson JR, et al; RECOVERY Collaborative Group. Dexamethasone in hospitalized patients with COVID‐19: preliminary report [preprint]; version 1, 22 June 2020. MedRxiv 2020; https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.22.20137273v1 (viewed Nov 2020).
  • 9. Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering. COVID‐19 dashboard. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html (viewed Nov 2020).
  • 10. Johnson SU, Ebrahimi OV, Hoffart A. PTSD symptoms among health workers and public service providers during the COVID‐19 outbreak. PLoS One 2020; 15: e0241032.
  • 11. Shechter A, Diaz F, Moise N, et al. Psychological distress, coping behaviors, and preferences for support among New York healthcare workers during the COVID‐19 pandemic. Gen Hosp Psychiatry 2020; 66: 1–8.
  • 12. Holton S, Wynter K, Trueman M, et al. Psychological well‐being of Australian hospital clinical staff during the COVID‐19 pandemic. Aust Health Rev 2020; https://doi.org/10.1071/AH20203 [online ahead of print].
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A New Year, the top research articles, and a call to deliver a “net zero” Australian health care system by 2040

Nicholas J Talley
Med J Aust 2021; 214 (1): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50896
Published online: 18 January 2021

As we all look forward to 2021 after a horror year, the MJA will continue to work to cement its status as a highly influential top‐tier journal

Welcome to the MJA in 2021. Many will be pleased 2020 is finally over and will be looking forward to a better year.1,2 There are hopeful signs. The public health response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic across Australia has been exemplary to date,3,4 and while challenges remain, multiple vaccines have been successful in phase 3 trials and vaccination is anticipated to commence in Australia soon.5 The United States presidential election is over after a very prolonged dispute, and for many this is a relief. I leave it up to the historians to debate how a US administration could fail so spectacularly in the public health response to a pandemic, but wonder if the necessary lessons will be learned globally before the next major infectious diseases outbreak, the risk of which continues to increase with a warming planet.6 The dire impact of climate change on health, including mortality, appears to be being taken more seriously in the United Kingdom, Europe and, at last, the US, although Australia disappointingly remains a laggard for now.6,7

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  • Medical Journal of Australia


Correspondence: ntalley@mja.com.au

Competing interests:

A complete list of my conflict of interest disclosures is available at https://www.mja.com.au/journal/staff/editor‐chief‐professor‐nick‐talley.

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PPE for your mind: a peer support initiative for health care workers

Tahnee L Bridson, Kym Jenkins, Kieran G Allen and Brett M McDermott
Med J Aust 2021; 214 (1): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50886
Published online: 18 January 2021

Peer support initiatives can help health professionals experiencing mental health and wellbeing challenges during the COVID‐19 pandemic and beyond

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic has placed the health care workforce under an unprecedented level of stress. No area of the health workforce is immune to COVID‐19‐related changes to usual work practices. The impact of this acute stress has occurred in the context of a health care profession that was already struggling with major work‐related challenges including anxiety, depression, secondary trauma, compassion fatigue and burnout. Importantly, these issues may have been exacerbated by the COVID‐19 pandemic due to the direct consequences of health care workers being infected, and the indirect consequences of the economic impact on their families and friends, the rigours of lockdown and the adverse effects on health and wellbeing felt across all aspects of society.

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  • 1 Hand‐n‐Hand Healthcare Workers Peer Support Network, Cairns, QLD
  • 2 Sunshine Coast Mental Health and Addiction Services, Sunshine Coast, QLD
  • 3 Council of Presidents of Medical Colleges, Canberra, ACT
  • 4 Monash Health, Melbourne, VIC
  • 5 College of Medicine and Dentistry, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD


Correspondence: handnhandAU@gmail.com

Acknowledgements: 

We thank the many health care professionals who have enthusiastically supported the Hand‐n‐Hand initiative from its humble beginnings, those who have volunteered to support their colleagues during these challenging times and those who have helped to promote the importance of peer support in the health care sector.

Competing interests:

We are all founding members of the Hand‐n‐Hand peer support initiative. Kym Jenkins and Brett McDermott are also members of the #MindingCOVID writing group, which has provided resources for Hand‐n‐Hand.

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COVID‐19 and residential aged care: priorities for optimising preparation and management of outbreaks

Georgia E Aitken, Alice L Holmes and Joseph E Ibrahim
Med J Aust 2021; 214 (1): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50892
Published online: 18 January 2021

Recommendations to guide residential aged care facilities in preparing for and managing infectious disease outbreaks

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic is devastating the residential aged care facility (RACF; eg, care homes, nursing homes, long term care) population. Globally, older people living in RACFs comprise almost half (47%) of all deaths from COVID‐19,1 which now exceeds 1.4 million deaths (at 27 November 2020).2

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  • 1 Victorian Institute of Forensic Medicine, Melbourne, VIC
  • 2 Queen Elizabeth Centre, Ballarat, VIC


Correspondence: Joseph.Ibrahim@monash.edu

Acknowledgements: 

This work was supported by the Ballarat Health Service and the Department of Forensic Medicine, Monash University. None of the funders influenced the design, methods, subject recruitment, data collection, analysis or preparation of the article. We thank all the medical practitioners and nurses who participated in this study at short notice, and Safer Care Victoria for hosting and Ballarat Health Service for supporting Joseph Ibrahim’s sabbatical leave.

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

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Health and climate change MJA–Lancet Countdown report: Australia gets another failing grade in 2020 but shows signs of progress

Nicholas J Talley, Fiona J Stanley, Tamara Lucas and Richard C Horton
Med J Aust 2021; 214 (2): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50895
Published online: 21 December 2020

At the end of 2019 and into 2020, catastrophic fires in Australia consumed homes, lives, wildlife and land. Just as the fires subsided, Australia, like the rest of the world, faced another emergency — the COVID‐19 pandemic.1 It is instructive to reflect on lessons from the health disasters of the past year.

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  • 1 University of Newcastle, Newcastle, NSW
  • 2 Editor‐in-Chief, Medical Journal of Australia, Sydney, NSW
  • 3 Telethon Kids Institute, Perth, WA
  • 4 University of Western Australia, Perth, WA
  • 5 Executive Editor, The Lancet, London, UK
  • 6 Editor‐in-Chief, The Lancet, London, UK



Competing interests:

A complete list of Nick Talley’s disclosures is available at https://www.mja.com.au/journal/staff/editor-chief-professor-nick-talley.

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The year of the ‘rona: an uncontrolled trial in verse

Rob D Mitchell
Med J Aust 2020; 213 (11): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50878
Published online: 14 December 2020

These days of 2020
Have seen ravages aplenty
An “unprecedented” year born in ash and smoke and flame.

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  • 1 Emergency and Trauma Centre, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC
  • 2 Monash University, Melbourne, VIC


Correspondence: ro.mitchell@alfred.org.au

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What the forks? A longitudinal quality improvement study tracking cutlery numbers in a public teaching and research hospital staff tearoom

Mark Mattiussi, Amelia Livermore, Annabel Levido, Therese Starr, Melissa Lassig‐Smith, Janine Stuart, Cheryl Fourie and Joel Dulhunty
Med J Aust 2020; 213 (11): . || doi: 10.5694/mja2.50862
Published online: 14 December 2020

Abstract

Objectives: To evaluate the circulation lifespan of forks and teaspoons in an institutional tearoom.

Design: Longitudinal quality improvement study, based on prospective tracking of marked teaspoons and forks.

Setting: Staff tearoom in a public teaching and research hospital, Brisbane.

Participants: Tearoom patrons blinded to the purposes of the study.

Intervention: Stainless steel forks and teaspoons (18 each) were marked with red spots and introduced alongside existing cutlery (81 items) in the tearoom.

Main outcome measures: Twice weekly count of marked forks and teaspoons for seven weeks; baseline and end of study count of all utensils on day 45.

Results: The loss of marked teaspoons (six of 18) was greater than that of forks (one of 18) by the conclusion of the study period (P = 0.038). The overall rate of utensil loss was 2.2 per 100 days for teaspoons and spoons, and –2.2 per 100 days for forks and knives.

Conclusions: Teaspoon disappearance is a more substantial problem than fork migration in a multidisciplinary staff tearoom, and may reflect different kleptomaniacal or individual appropriation tendencies. If giving cutlery this Christmas, give teaspoons, not forks. The symbolism of fork rebirth or resurrection is appropriate for both Christmas and Easter, and forks are also mighty useful implements for eating cake!

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  • 1 Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, QLD
  • 2 The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD
  • 3 Centre for Clinical Research, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD



Acknowledgements: 

This study was undertaken with in kind support by the Royal Brisbane and Women’s Hospital Critical Care and Clinical Support Services Directorate; Cheryl Fourie contributed OPI Got the Blues for Red nail lacquer. We extend special thanks to Gordon McGurk, chair of the Royal Brisbane and Women’s Hospital Human Research Ethics Committee, whose insightful comments feature in our report.

Competing interests:

No relevant disclosures.

  • 1. Lim MS, Hellard ME, Aitken CK. The case of the disappearing teaspoons: longitudinal cohort study of the displacement of teaspoons in an Australian research institute. BMJ 2005; 331: 1498–1500.
  • 2. Metro North Hospital and Health Service (Brisbane). Vision and values. Updated July 2018. https://metro​north.health.qld.gov.au/about​-us/visio​n-and-values (viewed July 2020).
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  • 5. Hoyle C. Who stole all the forks? The science of missing office cutlery. Stuff (Wellington, New Zealand), 15 Apr 2017. https://www.stuff.co.nz/busin​ess/91303​980/who-stole​-all-the-forks​-the-scien​ce-of-missi​ng-offic​e-cutlery (viewed July 2020).
  • 6. Leedo E, Beck AM, Astrup A, Lassen AD. The effectiveness of healthy meals at work on reaction time, mood and dietary intake: a randomised cross‐over study in daytime and shift workers at an university hospital. Br J Nutr 2017; 118: 121–129.
  • 7. Morrison D. The happiness of the city and the happiness of the individual in Plato’s Republic. Ancient Philosophy 2001; 21: 1–24.
  • 8. Kelly PJ. Utilitarianism and distributive justice: the civil law and the foundations of Bentham’s economic thought. Utilitas 1989; 1: 62–81.
  • 9. Murphy N. Immortality versus resurrection in the Christian tradition. Ann N Y Acad Sci 2011; 1234: 76–82.
  • 10. Nuño‐Maganda MA, Herrera‐Rivas H, Torres‐Huitzil C, et al. On‐device learning of indoor location for WiFi fingerprint approach. Sensors (Basel) 2018; 18: 2202.
  • 11. Hornyak R, Lewis M, Sankaranarayan B. Radio frequency identification‐enabled capabilities in a healthcare context: an exploratory study. Health Informatics J 2016; 22: 562–578.
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