To the Editor: The recent discussion on chronic liver disease and ultrasonographic surveillance is welcome.1 Over two decades ago, investigators at Westmead Hospital in Sydney showed that ultrasonographic surveillance of 232 Australian patients with chronic liver disease (most of whom had cirrhosis) was superior to α‐fetoprotein in the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).2 In this research, we detected six HCCs with ultrasound for an annual cohort incidence of 1.4%; we calculated that each HCC detected cost $US8472 (in 1998 dollar terms). Further, the superior detection of HCCs with ultrasonography did not translate into improved survival either because of tumour multicentricity, metastases at diagnosis, or patient comorbidity factors precluding surgery.
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- 1. Jeffrey GP, Gordon L, Ramm G. Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in Australia: time to improve the diagnosis of cirrhosis and use liver ultrasound. Med J Aust 2020; 212: 297–300. https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2020/212/7/hepatocellular-carcinoma-surveillance-australia-time-improve-diagnosis-cirrhosis
- 2. Larcos G, Sorokopud H, Berry G, Farrell GC. Sonographic screening for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis: an evaluation. Am J Roentgen 1998; 171: 433–435.
- 3. Singal AG, Pillai A, Tiro J. Early detection, curative treatment, and survival rates for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in patients with cirrhosis: a meta‐analysis. PLoS Med 2014; 11: 1–19.
- 4. Singal A, Volk ML, Waljee A, et al. Meta‐analysis: surveillance with ultrasound for early‐stage hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2009; 30: 37–47.
- 5. Horowitz JM, Kamel IR, Arif‐Tirwari H, et al. ACR appropriateness criteria: chronic liver disease. J Am Coll Radiol 2017; 14: S103–S117.
- 6. Hong TP, Gow PJ, Fink M, et al. Surveillance improves survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective population‐based study. Med J Aust 2018; 209: 348–354. https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2018/209/8/surveillance-improves-survival-patients-hepatocellular-carcinoma-prospective
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