Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac rhythm disorder in clinical practice, with a prevalence < 1% in people aged under 60 years and increasing to 10% in those older than 80 years.1-3 AF can markedly impair quality of life through symptoms such as palpitations, fatigue and dyspnoea and is independently associated with an increased risk of stroke, heart failure and death.4-6 With an increasing incidence of AF and an ageing population in the developed world, the implications for health care costs are significant.
AF may be classified as paroxysmal, with self-terminating episodes of ≤ 48 hours, or as persistent, in which episodes last longer than 7 days or require cardioversion to restore sinus rhythm.7 Longstanding persistent AF is defined as lasting longer than 1 year, and permanent AF as being refractory to cardioversion or when attempts at establishing sinus rhythm are no longer pursued.
Secondary causes of AF need to be excluded, and specific tests in individual patients might include thyroid function tests, measurement of ambulatory blood pressure, and sleep studies to detect sleep apnoea. Echocardiography should be routinely performed to look for associated structural heart disease, and coronary disease should be excluded in patients with suggestive symptoms. With a growing array of anticoagulant options and an increase in the use of AF ablation,8 all patients with newly diagnosed AF, but particularly those who are younger (ie, aged < 65 years) and with more severe symptoms, should be considered for specialist referral.
AF is commonly associated with cardiovascular comorbidities such as valvular heart disease, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, left ventricular dysfunction and vascular disease.9,10 In recent years, increasing attention has been given to the AF risk conferred by obesity and obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA). Obesity (body mass index > 30 kg/m2) is a key component of the metabolic syndrome and has now been demonstrated to increase risk of AF independent of other risk factors.11-14 Left atrial enlargement associated with diastolic dysfunction has been identified as a key intermediary. The presence of pericardial fat — a metabolically active ectopic fat deposit in direct contact with, and sharing a microcirculation with, cardiac tissue — has been specifically implicated in the pathogenesis of AF, independent of measures of systemic adiposity.15,16 OSA is characterised by periodic obstruction of the upper airways and apnoea. Periods of hypoxaemia and hypercapnia, with repeated arousals from sleep, lead to sympathetic activation and elevated blood pressure. AF risk is increased in patients with OSA and is related to OSA severity,7,17-19 independent of cardiac disease or other comorbidities. AF recurrence after cardioversion is also more common in patients with OSA.
In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, 57% of patients presenting with incident AF had poor control of at least one cardiovascular risk factor.20 However, AF can be seen in younger patients with no evidence of comorbid cardiopulmonary disease — this condition is termed “lone AF” and has been identified in 1.6% to 30% of patients.21 Given the absence of comorbidities, it carries a low risk of stroke.
A key issue in managing AF is to decide between attempting to maintain or restore sinus rhythm or to accept AF and control the ventricular rate (Box 1). This should not be an immutable decision, as AF is a dynamic condition in which symptom status, stroke risk and even patient desires and expectations may evolve.
Randomised trials have not demonstrated a reduction in mortality or thromboembolism with rhythm control, but these studies have frequently included older people with structural heart disease, in whom the success of rhythm control has been poor.22-27 A recent meta-analysis showed no significant difference between rate and rhythm control for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality or ischaemic stroke in patients with AF.28 Post-hoc analyses have suggested that outcomes are improved for those patients in whom sinus rhythm can be effectively maintained, and there is no doubt that many patients with AF derive significant symptomatic benefit from achieving sinus rhythm. Rhythm control remains the first-line option in symptomatic patients without advanced structural cardiac disease, particularly those without significant left atrial enlargement, which renders long-term maintenance of sinus rhythm more challenging.
For ventricular rate control, atrioventricular nodal blocking agents include β blockers, calcium channel blockers (verapamil, diltiazem) and digoxin (Box 2). Symptom control and prevention of left ventricular systolic dysfunction, which can develop with sustained tachycardia, is the usual clinical approach, rather than achieving a specific target heart rate. For patients with refractory symptoms, a 24-hour Holter monitor is useful to assess response to therapy during daily activities. An average heart rate of < 100 beats/min provides a clinically used indicator of acceptable rate control, although in the Rate Control Efficacy in Permanent Atrial Fibrillation: a Comparison between Lenient versus Strict Rate Control II (RACE II) study, there was no excess of adverse outcomes associated with lenient rate control (resting heart rate, < 110 beats/min) compared with more strict control (resting heart rate, < 80 beats/min; heart rate during exercise, < 110 beats/min).29
Rhythm control involves a combination of electrical cardioversion and pharmacological therapy to achieve and maintain sinus rhythm. Rhythm control drugs act by altering electrical properties of the atria. Flecainide, sotalol and amiodarone are the most commonly used in Australia (Box 2). These agents carry the risk of ventricular pro-arrhythmia (flecainide and sotalol) or excessive bradycardia (sotalol and amiodarone), which has been implicated in explaining why studies have failed to show any survival advantage from a rhythm control strategy. Flecainide is contraindicated in patients with left ventricular dysfunction or coronary artery disease due to the risk of ventricular arrhythmias.30 As it may also facilitate transition of AF to atrial flutter with 1 : 1 conduction, leading to haemodynamic collapse, it should be given with an atrioventricular nodal blocking drug. Sotalol is associated with prolongation of the QT interval and pause-dependent polymorphic ventricular tachycardia (torsades de pointes), particularly at higher doses and in older women (> 70 years) with renal dysfunction, as well as in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and past myocardial infarction. Amiodarone is associated with thyrotoxicosis, sleep disturbance, cutaneous photosensitivity and tremor. Pulmonary fibrosis and hepatitis are rare complications. Its use should be avoided in younger patients if possible.
Catheter ablation is an effective strategy for long-term control of AF in appropriate patients. The recently published National Heart Foundation of Australia consensus statement advises that the primary indication for catheter ablation is symptomatic AF that is refractory to, or in a patient intolerant of, at least one antiarrhythmic drug.31 In such patients, AF ablation has the potential to dramatically restore quality of life. A recent study demonstrated no benefit of a primary ablative approach in patients who had not trialled medical therapy, but 36% of medically treated patients crossed over to ablation during the 2-year follow-up period.32 At present, there is no evidence that AF ablation reduces risk of stroke or heart failure or improves survival. A large international study examining these questions is ongoing. Appropriate selection of patients is important, with the best results demonstrated in younger patients with paroxysmal or early persistent AF, no advanced structural heart disease and without marked left atrial enlargement.33
Randomised controlled trials have reported the success of pulmonary vein isolation in maintaining sinus rhythm to be between 66% and 89% at 12-month follow-up.33 In a meta-analysis of patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF, the single-procedure success rate of ablation, with freedom from antiarrhythmic drug therapy, was 57%, and the multiple-procedure success rate was 71%.34 In a parallel analysis of antiarrhythmic drug therapy, the overall rate of freedom from arrhythmia during the follow-up period was 52%.34 Predictors of AF recurrence after ablation are persistent AF, marked left atrial enlargement and hypertension. It is important to continue to actively control comorbidities such as hypertension, OSA and obesity after ablation. The most common reason for AF recurrence remains recovery of conduction from the pulmonary veins to the left atrium, and about 20%–30% of patients may require repeat ablation for this reason. Studies have now demonstrated cost-effectiveness of ablation compared with ongoing medical therapy for paroxysmal AF, particularly in younger patients.35,36
Catheter ablation of AF is a complex interventional procedure that requires experienced operators and laboratory time of 2–4 hours on each occasion. There is a 1%–2% risk of major complications, including stroke, cardiac tamponade, and atrio-oesophageal fistula. The mortality risk is estimated at about 0.1%.33,37 The discussion about whether to undergo this procedure is necessarily detailed but it is reasonable to hope that, with ongoing evolution of ablation technologies and an improving understanding of the mechanisms underlying persistent AF, procedural success rates will continue to improve, with reduced risk.
Ischaemic stroke, the risk of which is defined by clearly identified risk factors (Box 3), occurs in about 5% of patients with non-valvular AF annually and is its most feared complication. Until recently, warfarin and antiplatelet agents were the only treatments available for stroke reduction. Aspirin confers a 19% non-significant reduction in the relative risk of stroke compared with placebo, while adjusted-dose warfarin (international normalised ratio [INR], 2.0–3.0) significantly reduces the risk of stroke by 64%.38,39 In head-to-head trials against either aspirin or aspirin plus clopidogrel, warfarin was significantly more effective for stroke reduction, with a relative risk reduction of 38% when compared with aspirin and 42% when compared with dual antiplatelet therapy.38,40-42
Despite these data, many patients who would benefit from systemic anticoagulation are not taking warfarin. Patients may be reluctant to take warfarin because of anecdotal reports of bleeding or apprehension about the requirement for regular blood tests and restrictions in food and alcohol consumption. Physician factors involved with underprescription of anticoagulation include a perception that the stroke risk is low or that the bleeding risk is excessive, with many doctors perhaps more influenced by the perceived bleeding risk than the benefits of stroke reduction. Given that stroke related to AF often necessitates hospitalisation, carries a significant risk of mortality and is frequently disabling with a need for long-term institutional care,43,44 it is important that the risks and benefits of systemic anticoagulation are accurately appreciated.
The most commonly accepted risk factors for stroke in non-valvular AF are a history of thromboembolism, heart failure, hypertension or diabetes and age ≥ 75 years,45 as described in the most commonly used risk stratification model, the CHADS2 score (Box 3). This reliably identifies patients at intermediate and high risk of stroke but less reliably identifies those truly at low risk.46 Anticoagulation is recommended if the CHADS2 score is ≥ 2 and should be considered if the score is 1. To refine this scoring system, the CHA2DS2-VASc score has been developed — in addition to the components of the CHADS2 score, it includes age 65–74 years, vascular disease and female sex as risk factors. The European Society of Cardiology’s AF management guidelines propose a lower threshold for anticoagulation and recommend its use if the CHA2DS2-VASc score is ≥ 1, with the emphasis changed from asking which patients with non-valvular AF should receive anticoagulation to which patients should not.7 The risk of stroke across the clinical spectrum of AF is governed by the same set of risk factors, which should be used, rather than the type of AF the patient has, to guide the need for anticoagulation in all patients.
Physicians are understandably concerned about the bleeding risk of anticoagulation in their patients and have traditionally evaluated bleeding risk intuitively. The HAS-BLED score, derived from 3456 patients with AF, 53 of whom had major bleeds over 1 year of follow-up, allows a more systematic means of evaluating risk (Box 4).47 However, a high HAS-BLED score (≥ 3) should not preclude anticoagulation, as these are often the patients with the highest risk of stroke, who have the most to gain from anticoagulation.48 Indeed, a recent large registry study has shown that patients with high bleeding risk still benefit from anticoagulation.49 An important function of the HAS-BLED score is to identify potentially reversible risk factors with a view to intervention; for example, discontinuation of aspirin and control of hypertension. It is worth emphasising that adding antiplatelet therapy to any form of anticoagulation increases the risk of bleeding without affecting efficacy.50
Trials have shown that all three drugs are at least as effective as warfarin in reducing stroke risk in patients with non-valvular AF, and all have significantly lower rates of intracranial haemorrhage than warfarin (Box 5).51-53 A significant reduction in major bleeding was found with 110 mg of dabigatran and with apixaban. The 150 mg dose of dabigatran was associated with an excess of major (largely gastrointestinal) bleeding in those aged ≥ 75 years.54 but significantly reduced ischaemic stroke. Rivaroxaban had a similar rate of major bleeding as warfarin, but an excess of major gastrointestinal bleeding. The lower dose of dabigatran (110 mg twice daily) should be used in patients aged ≥ 75 years, and it should be considered in patients with moderate renal dysfunction (creatinine clearance, 30–50 mL/min) and high bleeding risk. A lower dose of rivaroxaban (15 mg) should be used in patients with moderate renal dysfunction (creatinine clearance, 30–50 mL/min). Dose reduction with apixaban (to 2.5 mg twice daily) is indicated when patients have two of the following high-risk features: bodyweight < 60 kg, serum creatinine level > 133 μmol/L, and age ≥ 80 years.
Patients who have not received anticoagulation may form the largest group in whom NOACs will be used, as in all the major studies there was no differential efficacy or safety response according to previous warfarin exposure.51-53 Patients with unstable INRs will be targets for a transition. However, attention should first be given to the cause of instability, as a patient who is poorly compliant with warfarin may be equally poorly compliant with NOACs, and this may be more dangerous given their short half-lives. Whether patients with stable INR control should be transitioned is a more difficult question. All three major studies have shown that the benefits of the new agents are independent of centre-based time in the therapeutic range. In the Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulation Therapy (RE-LY) trial of dabigatran, there was a marked reduction in intracranial haemorrhage even in patients with good INR control.51 Therefore, we feel it is not unreasonable to swap patients with stable INRs to the new agents. This is particularly so for a patient who requests such a change for reasons of convenience, as long as factors such as renal function and drug interactions are considered. However, we do not think there is enough evidence to recommend wholesale transfer of patients with stable INRs to the new agents.
All the NOACs have a higher cost than warfarin. Nevertheless, the reduction in stroke, bleeding and need for monitoring and physician consultation may more than counterbalance this, and cost–benefit analyses in favour of dabigatran have been published.55
AF is a common and increasingly prevalent condition that may be associated with a wide spectrum of symptom severity. Whether a patient is symptomatic or not, reducing stroke risk remains a central consideration. Key management decisions are whether to adopt a rhythm control or rate control strategy and whether to initiate anticoagulation (Box 6). Rhythm control with antiarrhythmic therapy is primarily aimed at symptom control. Ablation should be considered in younger patients, particularly if they have paroxysmal AF and no more than mild left atrial enlargement. Anticoagulation should be considered based on stroke risk assessed using the CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc scoring system, rather than on the type of AF. It is likely that the NOAC drugs will be increasingly used for this indication but, as with any new therapy, it is important to be prudent with their use while clinical experience is building. Given the proven efficacy of warfarin for stroke reduction, a high degree of vigilance for potential adverse effects from NOACs is required.
1 Factors influencing a decision between rhythm control or rate control for atrial fibrillation (AF)
2 Rate control and antiarrhythmic drugs commonly used for the management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Australia*
3 Components of the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, and corresponding risks of stroke and systemic emboli*
Congestive heart failure/ left ventricular dysfunction (ejection fraction ≤ 40%) |
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TIA = transient ischaemic attack. * Adapted from Tables 7 and 8 in Camm et al.7 |
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4 Components of the HAS-BLED score and corresponding risk of bleeding in 3071 patients with atrial fibrillation*
* Adapted from Tables 2 and 5 in Pisters et al.47 † Such as aspirin, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs or steroids. |
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5 Risks of stroke or systemic embolism and of intracranial bleeding for the new oral anticoagulant drugs when compared with warfarin51-53
Provenance: Commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
- John V Amerena1,2
- Tomos E Walters3
- Sam Mirzaee4
- Jonathan M Kalman3,5
- 1 Geelong Cardiology Research Unit, Geelong, VIC.
- 2 Deakin University, Geelong, VIC.
- 3 Department of Cardiology, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, VIC.
- 4 Barwon Health, Geelong, VIC.
- 5 University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC.
Tomos Walters is supported by a postgraduate scholarship cofounded by the National Health and Medical Research Council and the National Heart Foundation.
John Amerena was on the steering committee and was national coordinator/principal investigator for the RE-LY and ARISTOTLE studies and was a participant in the ROCKET AF study. He has been on national and international advisory boards for the manufacturers of all three novel anticoagulants and has given sponsored and invited lectures nationally and internationally. Jonathan Kalman has received investigator-initiated research and fellowship support from St Jude Medical, Medtronic, Biosense Webster and Boston Scientific.
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Summary
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia, with a prevalence that increases markedly with increasing age.
Presence of AF has implications for management of future stroke risk. If the patient’s pulse is irregular, an electrocardiogram should be ordered.
Key management decisions are whether to adopt a rhythm control or a rate control strategy and whether to initiate anticoagulation.
The primary aim of a rhythm control strategy is improved symptom control. AF ablation may be considered in younger patients (aged < 65 years) with paroxysmal or early persistent AF.
AF increases the risk of stroke, and anticoagulation should be considered on the basis of stroke risk — clearly indicated with a CHADS2 score (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 years, diabetes, 1 point each; previous stroke or transient ischaemic attack, 2 points) of ≥ 2 — independent of the type of AF.
In most patients with AF, the benefit of stroke reduction with systemic anticoagulation will outweigh its bleeding risks.
All anticoagulants and antiplatelet agents increase the risk of bleeding. However, the new oral anticoagulants tend to have an improved safety profile, particularly in regard to intracranial bleeding, and are at least as effective as warfarin for stroke prevention.