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Is grand multiparity an independent predictor of pregnancy risk? A retrospective observational study

MJA 2004; 180 (4): 196-197

Caroline M de Costa

Obstetrician and Gynaecologist, Cairns Base Hospital, Cairns, QLD 4870. carolinedecAThotkey.net.au

To the Editor: As a “grand multip” myself, I turned with interest to Humphrey’s recently published study of grand multiparity and pregnancy risk at Cairns Base Hospital.1 However, I cannot support his conclusions.

Throughout the period of the study, most grand multiparous women giving birth at this hospital were actively managed in the third stage of labour with a regimen designed to prevent postpartum haemorrhage (intravenous ergometrine/oxytocin). Women of lesser parity were also given preventive therapy, but generally in lower doses and less consistently. This is a major confounding factor not addressed in Humphrey’s study. Clearly, an unknown, but probably significant, number of haemorrhages were prevented by this treatment.

Given that 9.2% of grand multiparous women still had a postpartum haemorrhage, any prospective randomised controlled trial that allowed some of these women not to have active management of the third stage would be unethical. Numerous other studies have shown an association between grand multiparity and postpartum haemorrhage. 2-4 These include the study of Babinszki and colleagues, which limited study subjects to upper-class, private patients and thereby eliminated many confounding variables.4

Humphrey’s study does not report the severity of the postpartum haemorrhages that did occur; even a small number of life-threatening haemorrhages could justify continuing very active preventive measures in grand multiparous women. The incidences of anaemia and previous postpartum haemorrhage, not recorded in the study, would also be of interest; both are independent reasons to actively manage the third stage in women of any parity, and there are good reasons to believe that both may be more common in grand multiparous women.

Humphrey also states that grand multiparous women did not have higher perinatal mortality rates or poorer maternal outcomes than women of lower parity. However, whenever possible throughout the period of the study, grand multiparous women were identified on booking into antenatal care and treated by senior obstetricians. Many had conditions such as diabetes, hypertension, anaemia and heart disease managed carefully to ensure as good a pregnancy outcome as possible. This focused obstetric care could well have counteracted any natural tendency of grand multiparous women towards poorer outcomes, and thus it is not possible to draw any conclusions about perinatal results from the data provided.

What is clear from these data is that grand multiparous women in far north Queensland are often economically and socially disadvantaged compared with women of lower parity. This is a common finding in almost all studies of grand multiparity. 2,3,5 We should remember that these women are taking home a new baby to conditions that may already be quite compromised. They deserve the best obstetric care we can offer them, and we should be very cautious when reviewing protocols that we do not increase risks to these women or their babies.

  1. Humphrey MD. Is grand multiparity an independent predictor of pregnancy risk? A retrospective observational study. Med J Aust 2003; 179: 294-296. <eMJA full text> <PubMed>
  2. Bai J, Wong F, Bauman A, Mohsin M. Parity and pregnancy outcomes. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2002; 186: 274-278. <PubMed>
  3. Brunner J, Melander E, Krook-Brandt M, Thomassen PA. Grand multiparity as an obstetric risk factor: a prospective case-control study. Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol 1992; 47: 201-205. <PubMed>
  4. Babinszki A, Kerenyi T, Torok O, et al. Perinatal outcome in grand and great-grand multiparity: effects of parity on obstetric risk factors. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1999; 181: 669-674. <PubMed>
  5. Fuchs K, Peretz BA, Marcovici R, et al. The “grand multipara” – is it a problem? A review of 5785 cases. Int J Gynaecol Obstet 1985; 23: 321-326. <PubMed>

Michael D Humphrey

Director, Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Women's and Children's Health Service, King Edward Memorial Hospital, PO Box 134, Subiaco, WA 6904. Michael.HumphreyAThealth.wa.gov.au

In reply: I thank de Costa for her interest in the debate about excessive medicalisation of normal childbirth in women with significant parity. The obstetric protocol manual of Cairns Base Hospital did not, at any time, discriminate in the details of management of the third stage of labour between grand multiparous and non-grand multiparous women.

The statistical analysis in my report shows that, once confounding factors are accounted for, grand multiparous women who labour spontaneously are twice as likely as their less parous counterparts to have a spontaneous vaginal birth, with no statistically greater risk of a postpartum haemorrhage requiring transfusion.1 The purpose of multivariate analysis is to remove, as far as possible, the influences of the confounding factors that de Costa’s appraisal relies on.

The recommendation from my study is not that grand multiparous women be ignored, but that, if labour occurs spontaneously at the end of an uncomplicated pregnancy, they be treated no differently to their less parous sisters in terms of venous cannulation and blood cross-matching. I am on record as strongly recommending sensible, routine oxytocin-based management of the third stage of labour in all pregnancies.2

In the end, the question is whether or not evidence wins out over an individual’s historically influenced clinical beliefs.

  1. Humphrey MD. Is grand multiparity an independent predictor of pregnancy risk? A retrospective observational study. Med J Aust 2003; 179: 294-296. <eMJA full text> <PubMed>
  2. Humphrey MD. The obstetrics manual. Sydney: McGraw-Hill, 1995: 20.

©The Medical Journal of Australia 2004 www.mja.com.au ISSN: 0025-729X

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